彼得兔
彼得兔|Sep 22, 2026 10:12
This tweet shares my views on MSTR and the current cryptocurrency market, which is highly valuable. I suggest liking and bookmarking it first, and then watching it carefully. Bull markets arise from suspicion. It's not all doubt, it's the suspicion of most people; To put it bluntly, it is the suspicion of most retail investors. When most retail investors no longer doubt and truly believe that a bull market is coming, the first major uptrend is often coming to an end. The subsequent weekly level correction will make them question again: Has the bull market ended? When there are more skeptics, the market starts to move forward again. So repeatedly. Bull markets arise in doubt and often end in conviction As shown in Figure 1, the adjustment of MSTR monthly line level may end on June 27, 2026, which is a monthly line level adjustment. After the adjustment of the monthly line level is completed, there will be an increase in the monthly line level. The most frequently asked question in the group and comment section recently is' Is there still a chance? 'To which I would like to say, there is no rise that does not rebound, nor is there a fall that does not rebound. (If there is, it indicates that the upward/downward trend is strong, so that the reverse effect of this same level callback/rebound is not so obvious.) When will the MSTR rise end? The mainstream view is that this upward trend is coming to an end, so many teachers in the market are already gearing up to short or have already short. This is unreasonable but reasonable, for the following reasons: Firstly, as shown in Figure 2, it appears that the daily level upward structure starting from 81.81 is already complete, and this upward trend can end at any time or even has already ended, followed by a daily level correction. The second reason is that I have missed out on the market trends of recent months, which has affected my mentality. Based on the structural division in Figure 2 and the psychological deformation caused by stepping into the void, short selling seems reasonable. But what if the actual structural division is as shown in Figure 3? The teachers who have been short selling recently may become the fuel for the rise, because the new daily level rise that started on September 17th, as shown in the blue sector, has already ended. I personally believe that the short-term rise in MSTR since September 17th will not end, at least not yet. This viewpoint applies to BTC, ETH, and other cryptocurrency concept stocks. Short term focus on 151 in micro strategy. If this position does not fall below the upward trend, there is still momentum. If it falls below, it is a correction for the upward trend that began on September 17th. The nearest pressure level above is 172.4, and the weekly pressure level is between 255-278. If September 17th is the starting point for a new daily rise, friends who have missed out on the previous market have two choices. One is to seek opportunities to enter the market from a small level and eat the current wave of daily rise. Of course, this psychological pressure is relatively high because there is always a false sense of chasing high, and it is difficult to control the position well. The second option is to wait for the entire uptrend to end and then find an opportunity to enter the market after the correction against it begins. This uptrend, along with the rise from 81.81-144.91, forms a weekly level uptrend, which means we still need to wait for some time. If you are afraid of stepping on the air, you are not afraid of being covered. If you are afraid of being covered, you cannot be afraid of stepping on the air. Sugar cane is not sweet at both ends. The main reason why we bravely added a package of encrypted targets on September 19th is that we have done a good job of psychological construction - we do not accept empty promises and are prepared to be trapped. A friend may say, 'Because you have end of month inventory for June and July, even if you add inventory here, the average price is not high.'. This statement is completely incorrect. Even without a bottom position, I will still increase my position on September 19th, and may even buy more positions because of the lack of a bottom position. Because the trend has already formed, and I have understood the trend, formulated a strategy, and controlled my position, I am not afraid. All the gains are rewards for me.
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