星球日报|Sep 19, 2026 00:55
[Probability of Bitcoin Reaching $100,000 This Year is 25%, $150,000 is Only 2%]
Odaily Planet Daily News: Bitcoin briefly surged to $81,377 during intraday trading on September 18. Data from the prediction market platform Myriad Markets shows that the probability of Bitcoin reaching $84,000 before hitting $55,000 is 84%, with related contract trading volume at $242,000. Data from the prediction market platform Polymarket indicates that the probabilities of Bitcoin reaching $85,000, $90,000, $95,000, and $100,000 by the end of 2026 are 80%, 59%, 39%, and 25%, respectively, with related contract trading volume exceeding $67 million. Polymarket data also shows that the probability of Bitcoin reaching $150,000 by the end of 2026 is 2%, while Kalshi assigns a 25% probability of Bitcoin surpassing $100,000 before 2027. The probability of Bitcoin dropping to $55,000 is 12%. (Bitcoin.com News)
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