陈桂林|Sep 18, 2026 23:57
Two possible paths for BTC's next move:
1. (Chart 1) The adjustment from 82283 to 74887 is the 4th wave correction. The current rise from 74887 is the 5th wave. Once the 5th wave reaches a certain proportion of the 1st wave's rise, the entire upward trend ends, and a correction targeting the overall rise from 57718 begins. After the correction, a larger-scale rise of the same level will start again.
2. The rise from 57718 to 82283 is the first overall upward segment, and the adjustment from 82283 to 74887 is the correction for this segment. Currently, the market is starting a rise of the same level as 57718 to 82283. (Chart 2)
The common point between the two paths is that both lead to further gains, with a target of 100k. The difference is that path 1 will be more turbulent.
Personally, I’m hoping for path 2. Based on the indicators, the strength of yesterday’s rally, and the performance of external crypto stocks and altcoins, as long as this momentum and sentiment continue, path 2 is more likely.
However, if something unexpected disrupts this upward momentum, it might shift to path 1.
The market doesn’t follow a pre-set path; it moves as it should unless something unexpected happens, in which case it might take a different route.
As always, the process might be bumpy, but the future is bright. Just hold on and stay put.
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