Hupzy (Spot On Chain)|Sep 18, 2026 21:27
Individual investor bearishness surged to ๐ฑ๐ฏ.๐ฏ% in the latest AAII survey โ the highest since May 2025 โ while bullish sentiment collapsed to 28.8%, pushing the bull-bear spread to -๐ฎ๐ฐ.๐ฑ๐ฝ๐ฝ.
๐๐๐ฝ๐๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ธ๐ฒ: A 2-week bearish surge of +15.7pp is the largest since March 2026, placing current positioning in territory historically associated with market inflection points. When bearish sentiment reaches these extremes, the remaining seller pool shrinks โ unexpected positive catalysts can force rapid short covering. The comparison to 2022 bear market readings makes this a classic contrarian setup.
For SP500 perp traders, watch for volatility in both directions โ sentiment extremes cut both ways until a catalyst forces resolution. For BTC, risk-off sentiment extremes have historically preceded recoveries when macro conditions stabilize. The trigger would be any dovish Fed pivot or positive macro surprise that forces crowded bearish positioning to unwind.
source: KobeissiLetter
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