allincrypto 熬鹰资本 🇨🇳|Sep 18, 2026 19:01
I’m just looking at the normal bearish impact of the bill not passing + rate hike bearishness, so naturally, I’m bearish on the market.
But this morning, Japan raised interest rates, and yet the market didn’t drop. Plus, $BTC is about to break yesterday’s high of 77,000. The price action is clear, so I closed my short positions and chased the strongest sector.
Chasing highs is essentially chasing certainty. The premium you pay for certainty lies in this. When the shadow of rate hikes and uncertainty still looms, I don’t think small-scale policy benefits can outweigh macroeconomic bearishness. But when Japan raises rates and the market doesn’t drop, I think it’s time to play the reversal. So I closed my shorts and switched to longs.
If you have no strategy at all, then in a bull market, you might think all traders are clueless. You’d think they’re going long on $ETH at 2,650 or $BTC at 78,000. You’d think these traders lack insight because they didn’t go long at 58,000 and hold until now. Is that really the case?
It’s not the analysts who analyze this and that who are impressive. The truly impressive ones are those who align their knowledge and actions, who dare to face all their profits and losses head-on.
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