星球日报|Sep 18, 2026 13:12
[Probability of 'Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in October' rises to 54% on Polymarket, up 7% in 24 hours]
Monitoring by PPP prediction market tools shows that the probability of 'Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in October' on Polymarket has risen to 54%, up 7% in 24 hours; the probability of maintaining rates unchanged has dropped to 46%, down 8% in 24 hours. Previously, a senior government official stated that if the Federal Reserve decides to raise interest rates again in October (just before the midterm elections), Waller may find himself under stricter scrutiny from Trump and his advisors. Trump's description of a hostile Federal Reserve board might lead investors to question: Is Waller leading the Federal Reserve, or is he being coerced by it?
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