"Fed Rate Hike Confirmed, Dot Plot Suggests One More" The Fed announced a 25 basis point rate hike early this morning, raising the benchmark interest rate to 3.75%-4.00%. This marks the first rate hike since July 2023. All committee members unanimously agreed on the decision, aligning with market expectations. The median of the dot plot indicates: one more rate hike in 2026. Key points: (1) 25bp rate hike confirmed, benchmark rate at 3.75%-4.00%; (2) Unanimous agreement among committee members, no dissenting votes; (3) Dot plot suggests one more rate hike this year. Little Dragon’s perspective: The rate hike aligns with expectations, signaling "bad news priced in." However, the dot plot hinting at one more hike is a signal that needs to be digested. The market has already priced in a 92% probability of a rate hike. The real variable lies in Walsh's press conference—if he hints at further hikes in October or December, there will be short-term pressure; if his tone is neutral, $BTC may dip first and then rebound. 76K is the short-term dividing line—holding above it suggests consolidation and momentum building, while breaking below it could test the 74.5K-75K range.