Big moves coming to the crypto world tonight! The FED interest rate decision is about to drop! Taiwan Time: 9/17, 2:00 AM – The Fed will announce its latest interest rate decision. 2:30 AM – Press conference follows right after. The Fed's official schedule confirms these two key times. Current Federal Funds Rate Target Range: 3.50%–3.75% But the market focus isn’t just on *whether* there will be a rate hike anymore. The real question is: Will they hike another 25 bps to 3.75%–4.00%? According to the latest Reuters survey, 86 out of 101 economists expect a 25 bps hike. Market pricing shows the probability of a hike is already over 90%. This means the real market mover tonight might actually be the "expectation gap": - **Hike 25 bps** → Already heavily priced in; focus shifts to the tone of the statement. - **No hike** → Could trigger significant market repricing. - **Rate cut** → A massive surprise, volatility could explode. ⚠️ But the most critical moment might not even be at 2:00 AM. The real game-changer could be at **2:30 AM** during the Fed Chair’s press conference, along with the release of the latest dot plot and economic projections. If the Fed hints that this isn’t just a one-off hike but the start of a new tightening cycle, the impact on Bitcoin, U.S. stocks, and other risk assets could be completely different. Don’t just stare at the BTC candlestick chart tonight. The real driver of the next market trend might be: **"After this hike, how many more are coming?"** Wall Street is already starting to reprice this question. Morgan Stanley even predicts that after a September hike, the Fed might hike again in December. 2:00 AM tonight – Be ready. Volatility could be off the charts.