Hupzy (Spot On Chain)|Sep 15, 2026 22:52
Speculators have flipped net long on the Japanese Yen for the first time in 6 months, swinging from -163,412 contracts net short on August 2 to +๐ญ๐ฌ,๐ณ๐ต๐ฒ contracts net long in the week ending September 8.
๐๐๐ฝ๐๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ธ๐ฒ: The ๐ญ๐ฒ๐ฏ๐-๐๐ผ-+๐ญ๐ญ๐ swing in 5 weeks is a massive sentiment reversal driven by growing BOJ hike bets. The key transmission channel to crypto is the ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ฟ๐ ๐๐ฟ๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ฒ ๐๐ป๐๐ถ๐ป๐ฑ โ Yen-funded carry trades were a primary driver of the August 2024 volatility spike when the BOJ last hiked. A repeat could trigger risk-off flows into BTC and other risk assets. With the Fed decision tomorrow at 90% hike odds, the USD-JPY dynamic becomes a two-sided carry unwind risk.
BTC faces indirect pressure from any carry unwind. Watch BOJ commentary in coming weeks for any explicit hike timeline.
source: KobeissiLetter
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