The expected interest rate hike in September has exceeded 92%. Just add it up and don't expect consecutive interest rate hikes. If a high probability of interest rate hikes is also expected in October, the US stock market and the market will not be spared The fundamental concern is still oil prices. The best scenario is that Trump's TACO oil price drops completely after the interest meeting in September, so the market can have a long time At present, WTI is still fluctuating in the range of 97-100. Just now, it was reported that "Iranian Foreign Minister Alaghi will visit China" and that Dongda will soon visit the United States It can't help but remind people of the middle of May, the eve of Trump's visit to China. After that, the oil price began to decline for more than a month from the middle to the late May until the beginning of July. This time? Will it be like this too? Although Bitcoin is now approaching 76, the US stock index has also fallen, and the S&P has fallen below 7600 points In the early morning of the day after tomorrow, Walsh announced a rate hike, which has already been priced and has little impact on the market If the speech still says that there is a lot of inflationary pressure and the possibility of further interest rate hikes cannot be ruled out, and the speech is very hawkish, and the oil price is still above 97, then the market will continue to decline. Unless Trump comes to pick it up at this time, TACO， Let the oil price come down The US stock market and the market will gradually rebound. If that's the case, then We can live a good life in October