The probability of the CLARITY Act being signed into law within 2026 has decreased to 20%

The data shows that the probability of the CLARITY Act being signed into law by 2026 on Polymarket has dropped to 20%, a decrease of 11% in 24 hours. The CLARITY bill vote is approaching, and the Republican Party has previously announced the final compromise plan. However, some Democrats are still dissatisfied with the encryption ethics provisions in the new version of the text and plan to submit a counter proposal before the vote. In addition, Elizabeth Warren, the Democratic lead member of the Senate Banking Committee, has publicly opposed the bill, arguing that the new ethical provisions still have loopholes and cannot effectively restrict Trump from profiting from the cryptocurrency business.