a16z|Sep 14, 2026 14:35
Greg Brockman: "We're now in the AGI era."
Ten years ago, OpenAI worked out the compute curves and landed on fifteen years to AGI, or ten if the world was willing to build the machines and spend the hundreds of billions to do it.
In 2026, GPT-6 Astra manages 24 hours of coherent operation, 10,000 agents worked together to solve Navier-Stokes, and a model ingeniously chained together exploits to break containment at Hugging Face.
@gdb joins @bhorowitz and @eriktorenberg on what the AGI era asks of us: why safety and alignment now set the pace, what happens to work, and why AI sentiment is lowest in the country building it.
00:00 Intro
00:52 15 years, or 10 if you spend enough
02:24 Pacing the frontier
03:55 Safety ideas from before the models
08:42 Lessons from Hugging Face
10:20 The defender's window
12:46 10,000 agents on Navier-Stokes
14:50 Formally verifying all software
17:10 Cancelling his holiday for GPT-3
18:42 Codex found 13 holes in 15 minutes
20:41 Why Astra earned the GPT-6 title
24:25 Employment keeps going up
29:39 America has the lowest AI sentiment
31:10 The benefits don't make the news
33:26 Banning data centers exports them
35:50 $1 billion for frontline defenders
38:15 Astra cleared the bar for AGI
40:18 1.5 billion people churned ChatGPT
43:25 Killing Sora
47:45 The AGI era
YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IJn8cagMW18
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