比特进|Sep 12, 2026 05:24
Final phase of the 2018 bear market: First dip on December 15, 2018, second dip on February 8, 2019. The price of the second dip was higher than the first dip.
Final phase of the 2022 bear market: First dip on November 9, 2022, second dip on November 20, 2022. The price of the second dip was almost the same as the first dip.
Da Liu Ren predicts the 2026 bear market: First dip on November 10, 2026, second dip on January 12, 2027. The price of the second dip will be higher than the first dip.
From the perspective of Bitcoin's four-year cycle resonance, this metaphysical prediction basically aligns with the four-year cycle. The timeline fits within the bear market periods of 2018 and 2022.
Looking at the trend, the 2026 market is more similar to 2018, where there’s a sudden panic sell-off at the end, unlike 2022, which was filled with constant bad news. Additionally, Liu Ren predicts a rebound in December, which is very similar to 2018. The rebound will be strong, but the 2022 bear market bottom had almost no rebound.
So, we can refer to the 2018 bear market bottom trend. Around November 10, spot positions bought near the bottom can be sold at 30-50% near the weekly resistance level in December. Futures positions can also be reduced by 50%.
The situations in 2022 and 2018 are very similar—no black swans, no major bad news, just a slow grind until the final collapse. Unlike 2022, which had constant black swans accelerating the drop and finding the bottom earlier.
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