The Kobeissi Letter|Sep 11, 2026 19:52
The shift we are seeing right now is extraordinary.
Markets now see a BASE case of 4 interest rate hikes by July 2027.
To put this into perspective, at the start of 2026, markets saw 4 interest rate CUTS during this time period.
That's a difference of +200 basis points between interest rate expectations now and 9 months ago.
These are, by far, the most hawkish Fed policy expectations since the Fed began raising interest rates in March 2022.
It's clear: the market believes "higher for longer" is back and inflation is here to stay.
Wednesday is going to be an eventful day.(The Kobeissi Letter)
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