XAU Gold Market Analysis 2026.09.11 As shown in Figures 1 and 2, since March, we’ve predicted nearly all the trend movements in gold over the past six months. These two trends are relatively high-certainty and smooth movements, and there will be more opportunities like this in the future. For smaller timeframes, here’s our current view: The pullback in gold starting from 4282 is temporarily seen as a rebound against the black segment decline in Figure 3. The 4282-4510 range is the first rebound, while 4510-4291 is the pullback against the first rebound. If it breaks through 4400 and stabilizes above, we assume the pullback has ended, and the movement starting from 4291 is a rebound of the same level as 4282-4510. The upper resistance levels are at 4516-4538. If it stabilizes above, the scale may expand, and we’ll follow up on this later. It’s important to note that after breaking 4400, daily candles can no longer break below this level; otherwise, the movement starting from 4291 might only be a rebound against the 4510-4291 decline.