Aaron Dishner|Sep 11, 2026 03:33
BTC dropped 2.22% after PPI came in hotter than expected, printed its first TBO bearish divergence in a long time, and closed below the 0.786 fib at 76,706. It is now in bearish consolidation inside the daily cloud. A bounce back toward 80K would not surprise me, but once price enters the cloud it usually comes back, so 72K is the next real level and the 75,545 pivot is where a drop could speed up. Still, we are on week 49 of a bear market that typically runs 52 weeks, so I would rather buy oversold charts than short into the ground.
ETHUSDT only wicked below its first support fan line and stays strong bullish. BTC.D closed red while ETH.D rose, and OTHERS.D TBO resistance fell to 7.96%, so alts turn strong bullish the moment that holds. TOTALES fell 2.39% to its fast line. In TradFi, DXY printed a TBO bullish divergence cluster, a big early reversal warning, USDJPY closed a bullish engulfing candle, S&P Futures still has not tagged its fast line, VIX jumped 8% with RSI overbought, and CL1! is testing TBO resistance at 104.40 after seven overbought days. Silver dropped 5.5% and platinum 6.3%.
ETHFI, FF, and RAY ran on a red day while BNB, SOL, and LINK pulled back to their fast lines for bounce setups. ANSEM is finally oversold, HYPE dipped inside the cloud for the first time since August 19, and 2Z is below its listing low. Club picks IGV, PLTR, and ARM sit in bearish consolidation while SNDK and SKHY stay strong. NFLX is holding the bottom of the cloud, QCOM has a cloud squeeze under 2% wide, BANK lost its artificial bid, and APP still has a gap at 416 to fill. Dips are for buying.
CHAPTER MARKERS
00:00 Bitcoin Market Structure Awaits Confirmation
02:10 BTC Bearish Divergence Warns of Reversal
04:37 Bearish Consolidation Puts 72K in Focus
08:13 Bitcoin Bear Market Raises Buying Opportunity
11:32 ETHUSDT Holds Support, Dips Are for Buying
14:43 DXY Divergence Cluster Warns, USDJPY Engulfs Bullish
17:04 VIX Overbought Surge Signals More Fear
19:32 Oil Tests TBO Resistance After Seven Overbought Days
25:39 Ethereum Momentum Defies the Red Market
29:15 Altcoin HYPE Pullback Tests Dip-Buying Case
34:25 IGV Stays in Bearish Consolidation
37:32 Netflix Holds Cloud Support for a Bounce
40:14 BANK Loses Artificial Support, BONK Poised to Bounce(Aaron Dishner)
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