星球日报|Sep 08, 2026 11:37
**"[Probability of 'FDV exceeding $100 million one day after LAPTOP launch' rises to 77% on Polymarket, up 27% in 24 hours]**
Monitoring by PPP prediction market tools shows that the probability of 'FDV exceeding $100 million one day after LAPTOP launch' on Polymarket has risen to 77%, up 27% in 24 hours; the probability of exceeding $50 million has risen to 87%, up 37% in 24 hours.
The event contract rules state: If the fully diluted valuation (FDV) of the LAPTOP token exceeds the specified value one day after its launch, it will be judged as 'Yes'; otherwise, it will be judged as 'No.' The token must be in an active and publicly tradable state to be considered launched, and the fully diluted valuation will be calculated by multiplying the total token supply by the token price.
The definition of 'one day after launch' is 4:00 PM Eastern Time on the day following the launch. If the LAPTOP token is not launched by 11:59 PM Eastern Time on December 31, 2026, the market will be judged as 'No.'
According to a previous report by *The Wall Street Journal*, Hunter Biden, son of former U.S. President Joe Biden, plans to launch a meme coin called LAPTOP themed around his 'laptop' incident. The token is scheduled to go live on September 9 on Coinbase's Base network.
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