The ECB decides on Thursday. @Polymarket has a 25bp hike at 99.7%, @Kalshi at 98%, and all 65 economists in the Reuters poll agree. The market got there in late August and hasn't moved since. Across the last 14 settled ECB decisions, its favourite a week out was the correct one every time. Rate decisions for the ECB, the Fed and eleven other central banks, on Polymarket and Kalshi: https://eu1.hubs.ly/H0y7mZL0(Dune)