星球日报
星球日报|Sep 07, 2026 11:37
[Probability of 'Foldable iPhone U.S. Launch Price Exceeding $2,300' Drops to 15% on Polymarket, Down 35% in a Week] Monitoring by the PPP prediction market tool shows that the probability of 'Foldable iPhone U.S. launch price exceeding $2,300' on Polymarket has dropped to 15%, a 35% decline in a week. The probability of exceeding $2,200 has also fallen to 42%, down 17% in a week. The event contract rules specify: Any foldable smartphone released by Apple will be considered a foldable iPhone, even if it is not explicitly named iPhone. If the publicly announced U.S. market price of the foldable iPhone at launch is greater than or equal to the specified amount, the market will resolve as 'Yes'; otherwise, it will resolve as 'No.' If Apple releases multiple foldable iPhone models, the lowest announced starting price will be used. If Apple does not announce the price of a foldable iPhone by 11:59 PM Eastern Time on September 30, 2026, the market will resolve as 'No.' According to Apple's official announcement, the 2026 fall product launch event will be held at 1:00 AM Beijing time on September 10, with the theme 'Surprise and Shine.' However, pricing details unexpectedly leaked from its overseas carrier Vodafone in Australia and Egypt. Australian channel leaks indicate that the iPhone Ultra will be available in 256GB, 512GB, and 1TB storage versions, starting at 3,699 AUD. Based on this, industry insiders estimate that the U.S. version of the Ultra may start at around $2,000. Join the PPP signal push community to stay ahead and seize opportunities.
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