小龙先生
小龙先生|Sep 04, 2026 12:09
Three dimensional integrated trading system | BTC evening market analysis (3/3): structure and core conclusions ---The bull market has definitely started, breaking through 83K is just a matter of time! Yesterday, BTC broke through the triple top with a bullish candlestick, reaching a high of $82282. 77K has hit the bottom three times without breaking, with a large volume exceeding 81500. Structurally, it has completed the transition from low-level stabilization to high-level testing. After reaching a 4-hour high of 82282, it fell back to around 80800 and is currently in a high-level pullback state. 81800-82300 is a concentrated clearing area for short positions, and short-term buying power may weaken after short positions are liquidated. But the daily structure has risen to 80K, with 80000-80300 below becoming a new support band. 83000-86000 is the resistance zone of on chain cost foundation, and also the supply wall of about 1.05 million BTC waiting to be untied. This is the real test. Xiaolong's core judgment 82282 has been touched, and there is demand for short-term high-level pullback, with 80000-80300 being the first support. But if the price can stabilize in this range, it means that the bottom structure has completed a complete transition from 77K to 82K, and the long position is much stronger than the short position and has dominated the recent price trend. The long position has gained the initiative. Non farm payroll announced tonight that Waller has turned dovish, with the probability of interest rate hikes decreasing from 63% to 48%. If the data is weak, it may impact 82K-83K again after stabilizing at 80K; If the data exceeds expectations, step back on 80K-78K to confirm support before moving up. The direction has shifted too much, and 83K is the final confirmation line for the full launch of the bull market. In summary, I predict that this bear market has completely ended and the bull market has definitely started! The space for subsequent pullbacks is relatively limited, and the direction of the medium to long term trend is oscillating upward. Regardless of tonight's non farm payroll data, it only affects short-term price trends, but cannot change the direction of the medium to long term volatile upward trend. The subsequent pullback may be between 78K-80K. If there is a pullback, buy spot BTC in batches and at different times. Bitcoin breaks through 83K, it's only a matter of time before a bull market is fully launched! The weekly level deduction chart of Bitcoin is shown below
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