灯塔说|Sep 04, 2026 02:28
This wave of rise has once again hit its lowest point, and trading has resumed:
Yesterday, due to the decrease in expectations of interest rate hikes, the decline in the US dollar, and the decrease in 30-year long-term bond yields, both BTC and gold markets saw gains, breaking through the previous adjustment range. This round of macro positive narrative continues, so the medium-term trend remains bullish at 96-97K. Short selling gold at the previous high point, taking profits around 4300 and then going long ahead of time, and going long at 76300 ahead of time. Last Friday, Walsh's speech reminded that short-term bearish adjustments are a golden opportunity again.
Although the daily pressure level at the high of 82300-82800 is high, it broke through 80K yesterday and returned to a strong structure in 4 hours. Today, we are paying attention to the pullback and stability around 79300-80K, and will continue to focus on low and long positions.
Tonight marks the first important non farm payroll data for September. The small non farm payroll data two days ago was positive. Today's non farm payroll data is not very easy to ambush at the current high price, but the trend and technical aspects are bullish. Going long on dips is certain. If the non farm payroll data is poor and the expectation of interest rate hikes is further reduced, 82K may break through in one fell swoop.
If the non farm payroll data performs well and continues to adjust horizontally at a high level under pressure of 82K, it will still rise when the interest rate remains unchanged on September 17th.
Overall, the current trend is still in the midst of macroeconomic favorable conditions, and the safer approach for risky assets is to go long and buy low. Short term market trends can be flexibly responded to.
Join the Binance Square chat room as soon as possible, and share all the viewpoints from July onwards with group members. This has brought a lot of benefits to group members and increased their chances of winning. Up to now, every high and low cycle has provided correct reminders. Join the quality community for free.
bitcoin:native XAU
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