[Probability of Fed Rate Hike in September Falls to 50%] Jin10 Data reported on September 4: According to CME 'FedWatch,' the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining rates unchanged in September is 49.8%, while the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 50.2%. The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining rates unchanged in October is 35.5%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 50.1%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate hike is 14.5%.