[Probability of the Fed Keeping Rates Unchanged in September at 33.8% Ahead of ADP Data Release] Jin10 News, September 2 – According to CME 'FedWatch': The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged in September is 33.8%, while the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 66.2%. The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged by October is 24.1%, with a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike probability at 56.9% and a cumulative 50 basis point rate hike probability at 19.1%.