Phyrex
Phyrex|9月 01, 2026 18:01
Today, the war between the United States and Iran has escalated, especially as the United States has launched attacks on the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps in Iran due to the attack on ships in Hormuz. Iran will certainly not stand idly by. After the escalation of the war, US stocks and cryptocurrencies have been falling, and oil prices have started to rise. WTI has already exceeded $90, and the market is pricing this war again. It is estimated that the market will gradually calm down after this round is over. Especially the rise in oil prices will have a significant impact on the current concern of the United States about a September interest rate hike. Although I still do not believe that the United States will enter a rate hike in September, if oil prices continue to rise, even if there is no rate hike in September, there will still be a risk of a rate hike in October or December. Moreover, the yield of Japanese 10-year bonds has exceeded 3% today, which will add insult to injury to the US risk market. I'm not worried about oil for now, after all, there is a ceiling to the price increase and it won't continue to rise in an disorderly manner. Currently, the liquidation prices of WTI and Brant have been raised to over $120. In addition, the rise in oil prices is likely to promote Iran's charging of Hormuz and the opening of oil transportation to some countries, which should already be in the plan. Bitcoin is a bit troublesome. I have two dual coin maturities tomorrow and the day after tomorrow. The one that expires tomorrow is a $75000 test, and the one that expires the day after tomorrow is my own account with $74000. Currently, the probability of a $75000 transaction tomorrow is not high, and I can only continue to lower it in the face of the escalation of the war. However, if the war ends, the rebound will come quickly. Now the main thing is waiting for the midterm elections. For the rest, I can only buy on dips and do not make predictions about highs, nor do I have the ability to do so. @Gate Crypto、 US stocks, Hong Kong stocks, South Korean stocks, gold CFD、 Predicting one-stop trading in the market
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