星球日报
星球日报|Aug 31, 2026 03:19
[Polymarket Trader xm39 Significantly Increases 'Invade Iran' Prediction Shares Amid U.S.-Iran Clashes] Odaily Planet Daily News: Polymarket trader 'xm39' continues to increase bets on geopolitical conflict-related prediction events on Polymarket. In three transactions, xm39 purchased a total of 274,500 shares predicting that the U.S. will invade Iran before 2027, with probabilities of 14%, 15%, and 16%, respectively, investing approximately $41,700. Currently, xm39 holds a total of 642,300 'Yes' shares, with a cumulative cost of approximately $127,100 and an unrealized loss of about $27,600. Additionally, the associated address has counterintuitively added approximately 28,400 WTI short positions, with a transaction value of around $2.401 million. As oil prices continued to rise, the address closed out all 107,400 short positions at 9:01 AM, with an average closing price of approximately $84.86, realizing a loss of about $131,500. Just about 10 minutes later, the trading direction shifted from short to long. The address subsequently purchased approximately 64,700 WTI long positions in succession and is currently holding approximately $5.531 million in long positions with 20x leverage. The unrealized profit is approximately $18,200, with a margin return rate of about 6.6% and a liquidation price of approximately $64.88.
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