Yigol|Aug 29, 2026 15:25
bitcoin:native
I’m starting to suspect that $BTC hitting $80K wasn’t a breakout, but just a stress test.
Over the past 9 trading days, BTC ETFs saw inflows of over $3 billion, pushing the price from $60K+ all the way to $80K. But yesterday, for the first time, there was a net outflow of $202 million, and $BTC immediately dropped back to around $77K.
The more critical factors are: the 10Y Treasury yield is approaching 4.73% again, the dollar is strengthening, and the Nasdaq is starting to pull back.
I’m not rushing to buy the dip right now.
If $76K-$77K holds + ETF inflows resume, I’ll continue to view $80K as just a consolidation phase.
But if ETFs keep flowing out and $76K breaks—
Then this $60K → $80K move might have already completed its first stage.
The next big green candle isn’t what matters; what matters is where the next ETF money comes from.
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