📊MARKETS BET ON A FED HOLD AHEAD OF WARSH Ahead of Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech, markets are leaning heavily toward no change in September. Kalshi pricing shows a 71% chance of a hold, compared with 30% for a 25bp hike and just 1% for a cut. Now the focus shifts to Warsh: will his speech reinforce the hold narrative—or put a hike back in play? https://kalshi.com/markets/kxfeddecision/fed-meeting/kxfeddecision-26sep?utm_source=walterbloomberg(*Walter Bloomberg)