白极熊 | Baxiom
白极熊 | Baxiom|Jul 30, 2026 16:05
ON Altcoin Structure Review: Entering a Critical Validation Phase ① Price-Volume Structure: Over the past 96 hours, ON has risen from around 0.12U to 0.3688U, retraced to 0.220U, and then rebounded to 0.2778U. In the last 3 hours, trading volume reached approximately 25.6M U, a 33% increase compared to the previous 3 hours. The rebound has volume support but has yet to form a low-volume consolidation. ② Leverage Cleanup: OI dropped from a peak of 72.6M ON to about 54.4M ON, and the funding rate fell to 0.005%. The long position crowding has eased significantly, but OI still accounts for about 20% of the actual circulating supply. ③ Historical Comparison: Among 21 historical altcoins, 76.2% experienced a significant pullback before a major rally, 38.1% showed low-volume consolidation, and only 9.5% met the criteria of "pullback, low volume, and consolidation" simultaneously. ④ Capital Structure: In the past 24 hours, contract trading volume was approximately 196M U, while spot trading volume was only 5.43M U, with contracts accounting for 97.3%. The current uptrend is still driven by leverage, and its sustainability depends on whether Alpha and external spot markets can expand simultaneously. Conclusion: ON's altcoin potential remains intact, but the main rally has not been confirmed yet. Holding above 0.260U and breaking out with volume above 0.285U would signal a structural upgrade.
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