吴说区块链|Jul 30, 2026 13:33
WuTalk has learned that, according to Dune data, prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi have surpassed $13 billion in total trading volume across multiple categories, including politics, finance, technology, world events, weather, and culture. Among these, the trading volume for the finance category alone has reached $2.08 billion, with the top five markets all tracking Federal Reserve interest rate decisions, repricing hourly ahead of each FOMC meeting. Additionally, cross-asset signal markets, which are closely watched by hedge funds and asset management firms, include those tracking geopolitical risks like 'US military entering Iran' and ceasefire markets, the probability of a U.S. government shutdown reflecting fiscal dynamics in real time, and predictions for the next Federal Reserve Chair directly indicating monetary policy trends. https://www.(wublock123.com)/news/news-65621
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