小龙先生
小龙先生|7月 29, 2026 13:17
⚙️ Bitcoin Price Trends: Long Short Signals and Trading Strategies Brothers and sisters, there are two words on the plate today: pretend to die. Before the FOMC decision, both long and short positions were waiting, and no one dared to take action first. BTC's current price is around 64500, with a narrow range of fluctuations throughout the day. There is no volume available for upward movement, but there is a potential for downward movement. 1、 Today's Market Summary Bitcoin has been fluctuating and accumulating momentum in the range of 63800-64700 throughout the day. From the long position energy fluctuation curve in the candlestick chart below, it can be seen that the long position is not strong, and the short position energy is also weak, without sustainability. There is selling pressure at the top and taking over at the bottom, and this market is really calm. Both long and short are waiting quietly for the FOMC to land. 2、 Quick overview of long short signals Make multiple signals: 62.6K long bearish candlestick confirms support, indicating genuine buying activity; Giant Whale has increased its holdings of 66700 BTC in the past 60 days, with large funds being raised; The net pending order difference is positive at 1.188 billion US dollars, and there is active acceptance below 64K. Short selling signal: Shrinking and rebounding, spot demand has fallen to a multi-year low, and the value of the rebound is limited; Secure the hanging order above 64.5K to form a throwing pressure wall; The Coinbase premium index remains negative, indicating weak buying by US institutional spot traders. 3、 Current key position Above: 65000-65500 (strong resistance, false breakthrough confirmation zone); Below: 63300-63500 (support), 62500-63000 (multi head lifeline). ⚡ 4、 Trading strategy: Three scripts, waiting for FOMC to land The Federal Reserve's decision is the biggest variable, and tonight is unlikely to be calm. Think about the three scripts clearly: 1. Hawks pause: keep interest rates unchanged but Walsh releases hawks, with opposition votes: 64.5K is unlikely to hold on, stepping back to 63K or even 62K; 2. Moderate pause: keep interest rates unchanged, neutral wording: continue to fluctuate, wait for the next round of catalyst; 3. Unexpected interest rate hike: probability about 29%: risk assets under pressure, BTC may fall below 60K. Best strategy: Hold empty and wait for FOMC to land first before entering the market. Whoever takes action first will lose first.
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