灯塔说|7月 21, 2026 08:49
Bitcoin has surpassed 66K
Gold has also reached 4080
When writing this article over the weekend, it was suggested that 57K is the bottom and there will be a fluctuating upward rebound trend in the future.
Mainly based on a comprehensive judgment of macro perspective, options, funding, and technical aspects
Simply put:
1. The main core is macro fundamentals: interest rate hikes within 26 years will only stay on the lips, and the demand for interest rate cuts is greater than inflation. Slightly higher inflation is an acceptable consensus, and as long as the US Iran situation does not escalate into a full-scale war, inflation is unlikely to worsen too much. The negative impact in this regard is evident.
But the market will not rise in a straight line, and the Federal Reserve will occasionally release some "verbal" hawks on some data to appease the public's panic about inflation. This expectation difference will bring about mid way fluctuations and washouts.
2. In addition, the real pricing in the options market is also clearly bullish. Currently, the top options platform Blackstone Spot ETF (IBIT) options market and Deribit's latest weekly report, Deribit's options expiring in August, show a mild bullish bias. IBIT's bullish sentiment is extremely hungry, with a call to put ratio of over 4:1, indicating that some large institutional smart money is rushing through the ETF options market.
3. On the technical side, although the daily downward trend has not changed, the 4-hour structure has already reversed. Next, we can take advantage of the bearish data and enter the market to receive goods in the short term. Single day stomping is the best boarding point.
In the short term, pay attention to the pressure points between 66500-67300 and the effective breakthrough of the high point of 67300. If there is an effective breakthrough, look to 72K-73K in the future
Gold synchronous bottom bullish!
bitcoin:native ethereum:0x68749665ff8d2d112fa859aa293f07a622782f38
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