[Probability of the Federal Reserve Keeping Rates Unchanged in July at 84.5%] According to a report by Jinse Finance on July 21, based on CME's 'FedWatch': the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged in July is 84.5%, while the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 15.5%. The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged until September is 36%, with a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike probability at 55.1% and a cumulative 50 basis point rate hike probability at 8.9%.