The World Cup has come to an end, congratulations to Spain once again. I don't know which team has successfully won the bet Among the over 194000 independent trading addresses predicted by Polymarket for the home market of World Cup champions In terms of losses: -Nearly 130000 address prediction errors resulted in losses, accounting for approximately 66.7% of the total losses -The majority of participants' losses were not significant, with 114000 addresses losing less than $100 and an average loss of less than $10 -43 addresses have incurred losses exceeding $100000, with a total loss of over $15 million In terms of profitability: -1/3 of the addresses achieve profitability, but the majority of profits are within $100, with an average of less than $5 -The real large profits mainly come from a few traders, with 54 addresses successfully earning over $100000, totaling over $22 million -There are 5 legends with profits exceeding $1m, namely Asparagus 2012, Allegapa, Yamal19, Thesingulariisnear, and WCO26 Global events like the World Cup attract a large amount of trading volume and liquidity, but ultimately only a few traders with stronger information advantages and risk management capabilities are able to capture the main returns