[Probability of the Federal Reserve Keeping Rates Unchanged in July at 85.6%] Jin10 Data reported on July 17: According to CME 'FedWatch,' the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged in July is 85.6%, while the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 14.4%. The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged by September is 41.4%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 51.2%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate hike is 7.5%.