Bitcoin rebound high point scenarios and probabilities: Scenario 1 (Baseline, 55% probability): Rebound to 68,363. Trigger condition: Hold steady above 66,686, with no major macro bearish news disrupting the market. Scenario 2 (Weaker, 30% probability): Rebound stalls at 67,000-67,500. Trigger condition: Unable to break through the 20-day moving average, and ETF funds continue to flow out. Scenario 3 (Stronger, 15% probability): Surge to 69,500-70,700. Trigger condition: Break above 68K with strong volume, and ETFs start to see sustained inflows.