[The Probability of the Federal Reserve Keeping Rates Unchanged in July is 74.9%] According to Golden Finance, on July 10, CME's 'FedWatch' indicates that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged in July is 74.9%, while the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 25.1%. The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged by September is 35.7%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 51.1%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate hike is 13.1%.