Cointime Price, a legendary tool for bottom fishing in cycles, has experienced historical retracement ✏️ I first introduced Cointime Price to you in late December 2024, And I have repeatedly mentioned to everyone the application of this indicator in bottom fishing and top flight. As one of the main players in the "Four Major Deep Bear Bottom Hunting Models", Today, I plan to answer a frequently asked question: How has this indicator performed historically ❓」 // The indicator in the attached image is Cointime Price, with a yellow signal indicating a drop below Cointime Price, The brief summary of the indicator concept is as follows ： ➡️ Cointime Economics, jointly produced by Ark and Glassnode ➡️ Calculate BTC chips using a 'time weighted' approach and conduct fair valuation ➡️ Excluding the influence of ancient and lost chips, only considering chips that are "moving" Detailed explanation of the concept of indicators: https://(((((((x.com))))/market_gegar/status/1871466038107512855 Mr. Berg's old friends all know that in the cycle level bottom fishing, My personal favorite metric is Cointime Price, The main reason is due to "rigorous logic (low engraving element)+excellent historical performance". Taking MVRV as an example, talk about those escape indicators that are destined to fail https://(((((((((x.com)))))))))/market_beggar/status/1901829751465181526 In fact, based solely on the signal triggering time shown in the attached diagram, You can see the accuracy of Cointime Price in capturing the bottom of BTC cycle; But today I plan to delve deeper into some details with you all. The performance data of Cointime Price during the past four trigger signals is as follows: one ️⃣ Bottom of the 2015 cycle Total duration of signal triggering: 257 days The maximum drop below Cointime Price: 32% two ️⃣ Bottom of the 2019 cycle Total duration of signal triggering: 120 days The maximum drop below Cointime Price: 23% three ️⃣ Bottom of the 2023 cycle Total duration of signal triggering: 63 days Maximum drop below Cointime Price: 8% four ️⃣ Special events in 2020 (COVID-19) Total duration of signal triggering: 7 days Maximum drop below Cointime Price: 10% // Although the sample size is small, I don't know if you have found a pattern: The duration of signal triggering gradually shortens and the amplitude of the drop gradually decreases. This is not accidental, the main reason is still the maturity of BTC: With the rise of BTC market value, a decrease in volatility is an inevitable trend, This makes it increasingly difficult for the already strict Cointime Price to fall below. Exploring the cyclical nature of BTC's gradual disappearance from the perspective of on chain data https://(((((((((x.com)))))))))/market_beggar/status/1910515596497936757 Going back to the present, I don't have a crystal ball, so I can't guarantee that the signal will definitely be triggered in the future, But once Cointime Price falls below, as long as BTC does not experience a fundamental collapse, I believe buying and holding when the signal is triggered would be a strategy with very high expectations. Golden Pit Tracking Series (17): Latest Data from the "Four Major Deep Bear Bottom Hunting Models" https://(((((((((x.com)))))))))/market_beggar/status/2062713685639049363 So, can we break below Cointime Price again and trigger a signal this time ❓ Who knows. What we need to do more than predict the trend is' advance planning ', After all, although we have not yet fallen into our ideal 'deep bear bottom fishing zone', But it is also true that two periodic bottom signals have already been triggered: ➡️ PSIP < 50%（https://(((((((((x.com)))))))))/market_beggar/status/2063800180227588374） ➡️ AVIV Heatmap Blue Area (https://(((((((((((x.com)))))))/market_gegar/status/2071773101898223809)) Therefore, whether to start bottom fishing, batch trading or Suoha There is no absolute answer to the question, Because everyone's risk tolerance and time plan are different, So as long as you find the layout that suits you, it is the most correct. The above is today's content, hoping to be helpful to everyone // Related reading resources Another form of bottoming out where the probability of "replacement resonance" gradually increases https://(((((((((x.com)))))))))/market_beggar/status/2074311132463219062 Liq Battle: Wave bullish Stop Hunt signal suspected to appear https://(((((((((x.com)))))))))/market_beggar/status/2073947515473498123 Epic Cycle Bottom Valuation Resonance: Second Bottom Exploration on Schedule https://(((((((((x.com)))))))))/market_beggar/status/2070324576526139573