加密前线(糖哥)|7月 07, 2026 11:05
Daily Market Analysis - BTC
The large-scale movement of BTC is currently in a local rebound phase after reaching the lower support zone within the bearish trend. The support from the lower structure is still effective, but the downward pressure from the overall bearish trend remains, compressing the price into a limited range of fluctuations.
The existing compression range is between 69949-60110, while the extended range following the trend is between 67700-50001.
The division of these large-scale price movement zones will serve as an important reference for predictions in smaller-scale operations.
From the perspective of mid-to-small-scale movements, the main structures across all levels are either in bearish alignment or in a state of rebound after a breakdown. Currently, there are no signs of accumulation structures or offensive patterns, so the initial prediction is a mode of oscillating downward movement.
The 62566-62148 zone provides some local support, but the space is limited (less than 1%). Keep an eye on this area within the 4H timeframe for reference.
Short-term support: 61638-61198 (1:2 quick entry and exit).
The core area for secondary support is 59998. For gradual declines, move upward by 650U and combine with 59998 for entry; for sharp drops, move downward by 650U and combine with 59998 for entry. My mentor always says, "Don't assume others are too smart; align your strategy with the key levels." So, this range is 59998-60650, 59998-59350. Expanding the probability further gives 60650-59998-59350 (1:1:2, can also be split for individual trades).
Short-term resistance: 64243-64719.
Short-term pressure: 67278-68510 (1:2).
Side note: Don’t chase BTC just because some international big shots are bullish on it. The overall trend is irreversible, and the era is unstoppable. Any so-called big shot is no different from ants in the face of the era’s overarching trend. When their influence and the funds required to drive the market don’t match, the market will quickly return to its original trajectory. Only by following the trend and recognizing the dynamics of bulls and bears can you dance on the waves of the era. Always focus on high-probability moves and never pin your hopes on others. $BTC
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