[The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged in July is 74.3%] Jin10 Data reported on July 7: According to CME 'FedWatch,' the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged in July is 74.3%, while the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 25.7%. The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged by September is 42.9%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 46.2%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate hike is 10.8%.