Aaron Dishner
Aaron Dishner|7月 03, 2026 03:21
I closed Thursday with BTC up 2.56% and a fresh TBT bullish divergence on the daily, the same early signal I flagged back on June 14th and again at the end of February into early March before those bigger legs higher. I also watched price tag the TBO fast line, the same spot that rejected BTC on June 15th, 16th, 17th, and 22nd, so I'm not ruling out another rejection here. What has my attention is on balance volume closing above its moving average for the first time in a while, plus a weekly setup where a close above last week's open at 63,312 would likely kick off the kind of reversal I saw at the end of March into April. Ethereum backed up my multiple factor call from two days ago, closing up 5.65% and inside the daily TBO cloud for the first time since it broke down on May 15th, which is a real shift after 47 bars of strong bearish trend. I'm watching stablecoin dominance closing into its cloud too, which flips it into bearish consolidation, while Bitcoin dominance stays weak and Ethereum and Solana dominance are both running hot, Solana dominance is now on day six of an overbought streak. On the macro side I'm tracking the Dixie's pullback and TBT bearish divergence alongside the yen move, plus bullish reactions building in the Nikkei, Hang Seng, and a Kospi TBO close long, with gold, silver, and platinum all bouncing alongside Bitcoin. I walked through a long list of my own picks and yours, including Solana, Uniswap, Sky, XRP, Doge, Cardano, Bitcoin Cash, and Worldcoin all flashing bullish reversal signs, plus a live look at how I'm scaling my Fartcoin position using split profit targets instead of exiting all at once. I also covered stock setups I'm watching including IREN, Oracle, Circle, Palantir, Arm, CrowdStrike, AEHR, NBIS, Hims, SAP, Robinhood, Reddit, Salesforce, and ServiceNow, and explained why I still think July favors bulls even though I expect BTC to test lower levels before this move is done. CHAPTER MARKERS 00:00 BTC bullish divergence and TBO fast line tag 04:30 Weekly BTC setup and OBV cross 08:15 Ethereum breaks into the daily cloud 12:00 Multiple factor effect and short position management 15:15 Solana dominance and TOTALES market cap 21:30 DXY, yen, and USDJPY reaction 26:00 Nikkei, Hang Seng, and Kospi setups 29:30 Kraken prop trading and AFX resources 34:00 Altcoin picks: Solana, Uniswap, Sky, XRP 39:20 Fartcoin trade walkthrough and profit taking 44:10 Stock picks: Oracle, Palantir, Arm, Hims 49:00 Closing thoughts on July positioning(Aaron Dishner)
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