Aaron Dishner|Jul 03, 2026 03:02
Here's the YouTube description:
I closed Thursday with BTC up 2.56% and a fresh TBT bullish divergence on the daily, the same early signal I flagged back on June 14th and again at the end of February into early March before those bigger legs higher. I also watched price tag the TBO fast line, the same spot that rejected BTC on June 15th, 16th, 17th, and 22nd, so I'm not ruling out another rejection here. What has my attention is on balance volume closing above its moving average for the first time in a while, plus a weekly setup where a close above last week's open at 63,312 would likely kick off the kind of reversal I saw at the end of March into April.
Ethereum backed up my multiple factor call from two days ago, closing up 5.65% and inside the daily TBO cloud for the first time since it broke down on May 15th, which is a real shift after 47 bars of strong bearish trend. I'm watching stablecoin dominance closing into its cloud too, which flips it into bearish consolidation, while Bitcoin dominance stays weak and Ethereum and Solana dominance are both running hot, Solana dominance is now on day six of an overbought streak. On the macro side I'm tracking the Dixie's pullback and TBT bearish divergence alongside the yen move, plus bullish reactions building in the Nikkei, Hang Seng, and a Kospi TBO close long, with gold, silver, and platinum all bouncing alongside Bitcoin.
CHAPTER MARKERS
00:00 BTC bullish divergence and TBO fast line tag
04:30 Weekly BTC setup and OBV cross
08:15 Ethereum breaks into the daily cloud
12:00 Multiple factor effect and short position management
15:15 Solana dominance and TOTALES market cap
21:30 DXY, yen, and USDJPY reaction
26:00 Nikkei, Hang Seng, and Kospi setups
29:30 Kraken prop trading and AFX resources
34:00 Altcoin picks: Solana, Uniswap, Sky, XRP
39:20 Fartcoin trade walkthrough and profit taking
44:10 Stock picks: Oracle, Palantir, Arm, Hims
49:00 Closing thoughts on July positioning(Aaron Dishner)
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