[The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged in July is 82.4%] Jin10 Data reported on July 3: According to CME 'FedWatch,' the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged in July is 82.4%, while the probability of a cumulative 25 basis points rate hike is 17.6%. The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged by September is 46.8%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis points rate hike is 45.6%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis points rate hike is 7.6%.