[The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged in July is 71.7%] According to CME 'FedWatch': The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged in July is 71.7%, while the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 28.3%. The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged by September is 36.1%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 49.8%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate hike is 14.1%.