Tesla will launch Robotaxi service in California before December 31st "on Polymarket PPP prediction market tool monitoring shows that the new "Tesla will officially launch Robotaxi service in California before December 31, 2026" prediction event on Polymarket. If Tesla officially launches autonomous taxi services in California before the end of 2026 that do not require human drivers to continuously take over, it will be judged as' Yes', otherwise it will be judged as' No '. Tesla continues to advance in the layout of autonomous driving and Robotaxi, but there is a clear differentiation in regional progress. At present, it has conducted more aggressive unmanned travel testing and planning in some regions of the United States, such as Texas, while the California market is still mainly limited by a stricter regulatory system. The California DMV and CPUC have established a multi-stage approval process for commercial operations of autonomous driving, involving multiple thresholds such as road test data, remote safety officer requirements, and commercial passenger permits. At present, Tesla mainly relies on supervised autonomous driving (FSD supervised) in California and has not obtained a commercial Robotaxi license that allows for completely unmanned operation. In contrast, its "Cybercab" and Robotaxi commercialization paths are more considered by the market to be prioritized for landing in areas with looser regulations, and there is still high uncertainty in California's progress. Odaily Seer's Prophet channel continues to monitor and predict the market, seeing changes before pricing.