ᴛʀᴀᴄᴇʀ
ᴛʀᴀᴄᴇʀ|7月 01, 2026 15:16
🚨 WARNING: SOMETHING EXTREMELY BAD IS HAPPENING... 99% of people doesn't understand what's happening now. The Strait of Hormuz is no longer just a military pressure point. It's a toll booth. Controlled by one country. With no alternative route for 20% of global oil supply. Iran figured out something that changes the entire geopolitical calculus. You don't need to close the Strait to win. You just need to charge for it. Every tanker that passes, every barrel that moves. Every drop of oil that flows from the Gulf to the rest of the world now has an Iranian tax on it. Invisible at first, built into the price Passed down the chain until it lands in energy costs, shipping costs, manufacturing costs, and eventually consumer prices everywhere. And simultaneously Iran is selling its own oil at a premium. Not a discount, a premium. Because Iran wants to control the infrastructure that determines whether anyone else's oil reaches the market at all. That leverage translates directly into price. Here's why this is structurally worse than a temporary closure: A closed strait is a crisis, markets price it, panic, then recover when it reopens. A tolled strait is permanent, It doesn't go away when diplomats shake hands. It doesn't get resolved by a ceasefire, it becomes the new normal baked into every energy price, every shipping contract, every inflation calculation going forward. FED was already cornered, cut rates and inflation comes back. Hike rates and the market breaks. Now add a structural energy premium that doesn't respond to monetary policy at all. There is no tool for this. Higher energy costs mean higher inflation. Higher inflation means the Fed stays hard. The Fed staying hard means liquidity keeps draining out of risk assets. And risk assets that are already priced at 100-year valuation extremes don't handle liquidity drains well. This isn't a headline. It's a new cost of doing business for the entire global economy. This sounds SCARY, but I will keep you updated on everything here. Follow me and turn NOTIFICATIONS ON to not miss news before they become HEADLINES. Many will regret not following me earlier...(ᴛʀᴀᴄᴇʀ)
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