[The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged in July is 69.5%] Jin10 Data reported on June 29: According to CME 'FedWatch,' the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged in July is 69.5%, while the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 30.5%. The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged by September is 40.4%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 46.9%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate hike is 12.8%.