[The Probability of Bitcoin Dropping to $50,000 This Year Rises to 63%] BlockBeats News, June 27, the probability of "Bitcoin dropping to $50,000 this year" on the prediction market platform Polymarket has risen to 63% (51% on June 16). Additionally, the probability of dropping to $40,000 is 30%, while the probability of rising to $70,000 is 67%.