土澳大狮兄BroLeon | Crypto | AI | Stocks|6月 20, 2026 07:37
《Prediction Markets and Trading Everything》
Just read A16Z's data report, and it totally aligns with my personal experience — not just the World Cup, but all kinds of trending events are driving the public's acceptance of prediction markets to new heights.
Over the past month, the amount I’ve actually bet on prediction markets and the frequency of opening prediction market apps have both hit all-time highs for me. One of the key reasons I bet on $HOOD is that I’ve been tracking their prediction market data, which has been exploding in growth. Their performance is bound to benefit from this.
I think we’re sprinting toward an era of "trading everything." The age of everyone being a trader is coming.
It’s no longer just about trading crypto, gold, silver, or commodities, or even U.S. stocks. Now, we’re gaining more opportunities to trade on the skills, expertise, and insider knowledge we personally hold.
This will create massive opportunities for ordinary people to turn things around (though, of course, betting on things you don’t understand could also lead to losing money even faster).
At last year’s Token2049 in Singapore, I gave an example: Uber drivers have tons of opportunities to pick up insider info because almost no one cares if their conversations in the car are overheard by outsiders.
There’s also a famous open-source intelligence (OSINT) meme called the "Pentagon Pizza Index." There’s even a dedicated X account for it now: @PenPizzaReport
The idea is that before major U.S. military operations, war decisions, or international crises, these departments often have to pull all-nighters and suddenly work overtime, leading to a surge in pizza orders.
In the past, pizza shop staff or owners who noticed this trend couldn’t really profit from it. But now, with prediction markets, they can just tap a few buttons on their phone and potentially make more money than they’d earn working hard for a whole month.
So now it’s clear why all the major CEXs and trading tools are going all out to promote their prediction markets. This is a strategically significant track, just like PerpDex, stablecoins, and RWA.
There should still be plenty of investment and profit opportunities in this direction. I’ll start by farming @predictdotfun and @Polymarket, and betting on @RobinhoodApp. Let’s see if there are other projects that align with this trend later on.
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