小龙先生
小龙先生|Jun 19, 2026 21:20
Why does' crowded bulls' actually mean risk ? There is an iron rule in the cryptocurrency trading system: extreme market sentiment is often a contrarian indicator. When the bears are about to burst or the cost of holding long positions is too high, the market often faces changes. BTW is currently in a standard state of "bulls crowding", and has even reached the edge of "short squeeze". The funding rate has skyrocketed to over 0.2%, indicating that the cost of going long is already very high. Let's take a look at the disk structure of BTW coin by combining the logic of the demon coin system: Current market situation: bulls crowded, bears' paying hard to bear ' The BTW coin has been very popular recently, but the information exposed in the data is very clear: ·The funding rate is extremely high: the latest analysis shows that BTW's funding rate has soared to 0.2%, and even data shows that it once reached 0.274%. This means that the cost of holding long positions is extremely high, and short positions have to pay high fees every 8 hours. The long short game has reached a white hot level. ·Contract data deviation: The intraday price has risen by over 40%, with a surge in trading volume, but the long short ratio of large holders is very low, and bears dominate. This indicates that although bears have more people and less money to carry orders, a few large investors (or institutions) are betting on a decline. Moreover, the OI (open interest) is still significantly increasing, indicating that funds have not withdrawn and long and short positions are still in a fierce game. ·Typical Monster Coin Signal: This is in line with the "one-sided high control" feature we have discussed. The market maker not only controls the chips, but also creates high rates by raising prices, continuously reaping short positions, and attracting retail investors to chase after long positions. This structure poses a high risk of stampede if buying fails to keep up. The bullish signal has not completely dissipated yet, and shorting requires waiting for the signal. At present, the combination of BTW, which is characterized by abnormal amplification of volume and suspicion of reversal by market makers, is very similar to the early signs of many market makers pushing up and selling. I tend to think that this is a wave of market makers using AI storytelling to forcefully pull the market and then switch hands at high positions. From a technical perspective, the resistance range of 0.088-0.10 has been previously validated. However, the current position is not very suitable for aggressive short selling, for a simple reason: funds are still in a game, short positions have not been completely crushed, long and short positions have not yet been determined, and bearish signals have not been fully confirmed. Strategy suggestion: Wait for the callback structure to be confirmed before taking action We need to wait for the trend structure of BTW to deteriorate before taking action, don't worry. At the current BTW position, instead of taking the risk of reaching the top, it's better to patiently wait for a clearer signal: 1. Wait until it falls below the key support: 0.057 is the starting point of the previous wave of upward movement. If the price falls below this level in large volume, it indicates that the protective power of the market maker is weakening. 2. Wait for it to rebound weakly: If the price rebounds to around 0.088-0.10 and is clearly blocked and unable to rise, it is technically confirmed that the bearish signal has a higher chance of winning. So now is not the best time to take action. Let the bulls fly for a while longer and wait for the signal to confirm. Monster Coin BTW
+2
Mentioned
Share To

Timeline

HotFlash

APP

X

Telegram

Facebook

Reddit

CopyLink

Hot Reads