Aaron Dishner
Aaron Dishner|6月 18, 2026 03:34
Bitcoin is right back at support after another rejection from the TBO fast line, closing down 1.77% on Wednesday and holding near the 63,915 low. The bear flag is still valid, and if BTC loses the support area around 64,100 today, I am looking for a retest from underneath before the next leg lower, with the 59K area still the next major artificial support I am watching. Ethereum has already lost its first support level and is still leaning bearish, while stablecoin dominance is back in strong bullish mode and could push toward TBO resistance if Bitcoin breaks down. Macro is not giving risk assets a clean all-clear. The dollar index pumped 0.85% after the Fed meeting and closed above historical TBO resistance, EURUSD looks like it may bounce from support, and USDJPY is still the dangerous chart after a major TBO breakout cluster that could be either continuation or a topping warning. The Nikkei continues to push higher despite those yen risks, oil is super strong bearish and deeply oversold, and the TradFi charts are still mixed enough that I am not treating the crypto bounce as confirmed strength. In my picks, RAIN, WLD, AERO, XPLUS, SPX6900, UNI, KAS, ENA, CAKE, SOL, HYPE, SEI, MYX, BEAT, ZEC, XLM, TAO, NEAR, and ASTER all had important fast-line, breakout, fib, or rejection levels to watch, but the theme was the same: do not chase late moves, wait for clean retests. Your picks and stocks added ONDO, LIT, SIREN, MOG, DOGE, AAVE, AMZN, MCD, HIMS, CRCL, MSTR, DRAM, CLSK, SNOW, SAP, NOW, ASAN, ASML, and more, with several good bounce opportunities but plenty of charts still needing confirmation before I would trust them. CHAPTER MARKERS 00:00 Bitcoin rejects the TBO fast line and returns to support 04:44 Ethereum rejection and first support break 06:05 Stablecoin dominance returns to strong bullish mode 06:48 Bitcoin dominance, alt dominance, and broader crypto pressure 10:16 Dollar index breakout after the Fed meeting 11:27 EURUSD trade setup and profit protection 12:52 USDJPY breakout cluster and topping-risk comparison 16:26 S&P futures, NASDAQ, Nvidia, Tesla, VIX, and Nikkei 19:22 Oil, gold, silver, and PAXG/BTC macro check 21:16 Better Traders resources, TBO, journal, Kraken, and Toobit 25:05 My picks overview and review order 26:34 RAIN, WLD, AERO, XPLUS, and breakout exhaustion risk 29:01 SPX6900, UNI, KAS, ENA, TRUMP, CAKE, ETHFI, XRP, and BNB 33:01 SOL divergences, HYPE, LTC, CRO, SEI, MYX, BEAT, and DEXE 39:00 ZEC, XLM, TAO, NEAR, ASTER, and the move into viewer picks 40:24 Viewer crypto picks: ONDO, LIT, SIREN, BSB, MOG, DOGE, PENGU, LUNC, and AAVE 44:24 Stock picks: AMZN, MCD, HIMS, CRCL, MSTR, DRAM, CLSK, SOXX, SMCI, SNOW, INTC, CRM, SAP, NOW, ASAN, ASML, and LVMH 52:51 Sui deep-dive reminder and closing thoughts(Aaron Dishner)
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