Aaron Dishner|6月 18, 2026 03:34
Bitcoin is right back at support after another rejection from the TBO fast line, closing down 1.77% on Wednesday and holding near the 63,915 low. The bear flag is still valid, and if BTC loses the support area around 64,100 today, I am looking for a retest from underneath before the next leg lower, with the 59K area still the next major artificial support I am watching. Ethereum has already lost its first support level and is still leaning bearish, while stablecoin dominance is back in strong bullish mode and could push toward TBO resistance if Bitcoin breaks down.
Macro is not giving risk assets a clean all-clear. The dollar index pumped 0.85% after the Fed meeting and closed above historical TBO resistance, EURUSD looks like it may bounce from support, and USDJPY is still the dangerous chart after a major TBO breakout cluster that could be either continuation or a topping warning. The Nikkei continues to push higher despite those yen risks, oil is super strong bearish and deeply oversold, and the TradFi charts are still mixed enough that I am not treating the crypto bounce as confirmed strength.
In my picks, RAIN, WLD, AERO, XPLUS, SPX6900, UNI, KAS, ENA, CAKE, SOL, HYPE, SEI, MYX, BEAT, ZEC, XLM, TAO, NEAR, and ASTER all had important fast-line, breakout, fib, or rejection levels to watch, but the theme was the same: do not chase late moves, wait for clean retests. Your picks and stocks added ONDO, LIT, SIREN, MOG, DOGE, AAVE, AMZN, MCD, HIMS, CRCL, MSTR, DRAM, CLSK, SNOW, SAP, NOW, ASAN, ASML, and more, with several good bounce opportunities but plenty of charts still needing confirmation before I would trust them.
CHAPTER MARKERS
00:00 Bitcoin rejects the TBO fast line and returns to support
04:44 Ethereum rejection and first support break
06:05 Stablecoin dominance returns to strong bullish mode
06:48 Bitcoin dominance, alt dominance, and broader crypto pressure
10:16 Dollar index breakout after the Fed meeting
11:27 EURUSD trade setup and profit protection
12:52 USDJPY breakout cluster and topping-risk comparison
16:26 S&P futures, NASDAQ, Nvidia, Tesla, VIX, and Nikkei
19:22 Oil, gold, silver, and PAXG/BTC macro check
21:16 Better Traders resources, TBO, journal, Kraken, and Toobit
25:05 My picks overview and review order
26:34 RAIN, WLD, AERO, XPLUS, and breakout exhaustion risk
29:01 SPX6900, UNI, KAS, ENA, TRUMP, CAKE, ETHFI, XRP, and BNB
33:01 SOL divergences, HYPE, LTC, CRO, SEI, MYX, BEAT, and DEXE
39:00 ZEC, XLM, TAO, NEAR, ASTER, and the move into viewer picks
40:24 Viewer crypto picks: ONDO, LIT, SIREN, BSB, MOG, DOGE, PENGU, LUNC, and AAVE
44:24 Stock picks: AMZN, MCD, HIMS, CRCL, MSTR, DRAM, CLSK, SOXX, SMCI, SNOW, INTC, CRM, SAP, NOW, ASAN, ASML, and LVMH
52:51 Sui deep-dive reminder and closing thoughts(Aaron Dishner)
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